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What caused TSLA stock to go up/down today?

Hoping this thread might pick up steam as TSLA stock goes through some amazing intra-day and open/closing swings due to the large short interest (I'm assuming).

For instance: Yesterday the stock dipped really low at closing so I bought. Today it jumped back up and I sold for a healthy profit.

Why did the stock dip yesterday and then rise so much today? I didn't see any news that would justify it.

I notice they slipped in a 2013 estimate of 15,000 instead of 20,000. A bit spinny, IMO.

Seems like the stock price may have bottomed out as a result of yesterday's investor's conference call.
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/second-quarter-2012-financial-re...

investors' -- sorry Brian H

Still down from opening. Buy! Buy! Mortgage your heirlooms! >:)

Last day of July, sitting in the mid $27 range. Possibly because there have been 0 confirmed deliveries in the entire month?

Apparently 1 was delivered out of the Bellevue store last weekend. I haven't seen details other than pearl white.

Was that GB's car?

How low can it go ? We are around $26 yesterday. I am wondering if I should buy some stock.... Why would it go any lower ? ...

Because of the trolls on the stock market writing bad press, and noone's interested in running the good press.

Some of the trolls have visited here too I think. All those latest "interior is bad" threads sound quite a bit like them.

Timo,

I wouldn't put it that way [stock trolls in the forum]. I believe most of the shorts wouldn't even look at a Tesla forum, let alone post there. They are just shorting on the technicalities without any real knowledge of the company.

I'd be more inclined to think that some people have looked at the Model S as a panacea, rather than as a car, and have made a high emotional investment in it--some of them have had this emotional attachment for years. This leads to a highly emotional response when something appears to be lacking. The same kind of thing happened in the early days of the Prius. Some people were very incensed because it didn't have everything they wanted or solve all their problems. A few even returned their car.

I've been thinking about this for a while. Many have posted on the forums that they have bought Tesla stock (in many cases in the initial public offering) and hoped to use their profits on the stock to pay for their Tesla or at least the upgrades. Now that the signatures are about to be delivered, perhaps many of these holders are cashing in, therefore causing the stock to go down, paradoxically, just when we thought it should be going up! If so, this too shall pass (probably by October).

Another serious factor might be the fear of a secondary offering. Elon was asked about it in the conference call. If that should happen, you should buy the news, as the rumor has already been sold.

GoTeslaChicago:

No way the sig buyers cashing in are affecting the stock price. There just aren't enough of us to have a measurable effect on the stock price when the average daily volume is 1.6M shares changing hands.

I'd buy the secondary offering concerns as a reason, but not a GOOD reason. There won't be enough shares offered (even if they do have another offering) to dilute current stockholders' value. Panic early, panic often is no attitude for a serious investor.

sure makes it easier to pick it up cheap though.... Eh?

Yeh. If I had any money left to invest.

Better news (2 hours ago):

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-08-02/tesla-makes-first-50-model-s...

Let's see how it goes tomorrow...

Ever since mid-July there have been a number of posters on TMC verbally cutting up anyone that express any misgivings about Model S. Some of the misgiven seem like trolls but others may have a legitimate gripe. The negativity assassins use lawyer-like mis-direction in their posts and double down if resisted. I'd say shorts and longs are both using surrogates to pollute the forum over there.

steven.maes@pan... | August 2, 2012
How low can it go ? We are around $26 yesterday. I am wondering if I should buy some stock.... Why would it go any lower ? ...

From your KB to God's eyes. It's gone up about $1/day since then! I think the impact of actual deliveries is being felt.

Can I start hoping it hits 50 per before years end? :P

Vawlkus, at least you are not alone. :-)

When the Great Short Squeeze comes, all prayers will be answered!

;)
>:)

Amen brother Brian!! Deliveries starting. Gas prices rising (in the US). Just a matter of time....

"I increasingly suspect that Tesla's aim is not just to create electric vehicles (EVs), but to create an entire EV ecosystem. An exclusive infrastructure framework in particular could deliver the lasting differentiation necessary to deliver the high margins and high growth that are essential for Musk to chalk up another "mission accomplished." Of course, conventional wisdom would suggest open standards over walled gardens. If you get the package right, however, walls work pretty well. Just ask Apple."
http://seekingalpha.com/article/786711-a-43-billion-tesla-musk-s-incenti...

-- Tesla's aim is not just to create electric vehicles (EVs), but to create an entire EV ecosystem.

That works for me. Just as with computers, I don't like playing system administrator at home more than I have to (I get to play system administrator at work). So for the computer I just want to use it, and for a car I just want to drive it.

It took him this long to figure out the Tesla Secret Master Plan? Despite it being posted?
Oi gevalt -.-

As a conscientious and ethical journalist, he respected the label "Secret" and didn't read or report it.

I don't betcha.

I just came across this Forbes article. I apologize if it's redundant, but I didn't see it posted anywhere here on the forums yet:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2012/08/20/tesla-motors-th...

Nothing terribly surprisingly new there, but it explains how the public sees Tesla and why the stock has been moving sideways recently.

mb, I doubt an article written after the fact caused the stock to go down. Check dateline on it. 8-27-2012 8:01 pm.


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