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Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

EU 2241 reported Norway

@Runar, what is the date?

The order was placed 31.december, and number was reported today.

I was #2145 (Norway) on 27th December. If consecutive numbers that means close to 1000 the last few days of the year. Could that really be the case?

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,849 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,241 (December 31, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 24,128 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 20,102 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

;-) 100! Typo

GeirT; was wondering about your math skills there.;-)

Guess most of these are Norwegian still. Will be fun to see the first cars on European roads soon. (especially since I am #82 after the Sig's)

Dont think that is so unusual, 20-30 or so a day, think the european numbers have been close to this the past couple of weeks?

Will be interesting to see the next few weeks though.

The date of my order is 31.12.2012 and number was delivered today 2241

As of December 31, 2012 (subject to update), projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (24,128*1,376)/1,376 = 24,128
December 31 2013 (24,128*1,741)/1,376 = 30,528
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from July 1, 2012 base:
December 31 2012 13,260 + (24,128 - 13,260)*184/184 = 24,128
December 31 2013 13,260 + (24,128 - 13,260)*549/184 = 45,687
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from October 31, 2012 base:
December 31, 2012 18,337 + (24,128 - 18,337)*61/61 = 24,128
December 31, 2013 18,337 + (24,128 - 18,337)*426/61 = 58,786
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 17.5 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 59.1 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 94.9 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there are over 16K unfilled reservations at year end.

Corr:

As of December 31, 2012 (subject to update), projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (24,128*1,376)/1,376 = 24,128
December 31 2013 (24,128*1,741)/1,376 = 30,528
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from July 1, 2012 base:
December 31 2012 13,260 + (24,128 - 13,260)*184/184 = 24,128
December 31 2013 13,260 + (24,128 - 13,260)*549/184 = 45,687
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from October 31, 2012 base:
December 31, 2012 18,337 + (24,128 - 18,337)*61/61 = 24,128
December 31, 2013 18,337 + (24,128 - 18,337)*426/61 = 58,786
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 17.5 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 59.1 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 94.9 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there are over 16K unfilled reservations at year end.

EU 2261 reported in Norway today

My Model S Performance reservation #2316 confirmed today 2013-01-03 (reservation submitted 2012-12-27).
Happy New Year indeed!! (Andreas, Norway)

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,849 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,316 (January 3, 2013)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 24,203 – January 3, 2013

Net Total: 20,177 – January 3, 2013*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

mm;
Wouldn't the andreas res be better counted as a 12-27 number? The "confirmation" just sounds like an administrative afterthought, nothing to do with sales timing.

EU P#2341 reported in Norway today.

2341 resetvation was placed 27december

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,849 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,341 (January 4, 2013)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 24,228 – January 4, 2013

Net Total: 20,202 – January 4, 2013*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Bumping to top.

No US sales reported yet ... 100 European reservations in 1st 4 days of the year.

Brian: The post from runar says reported on jan 4 but reservation made 27 Dec.
Presumably there are even higher European #s made after the 27th in 2012. We have not seen any 2013 reservations.

ghillar: We have always used the dates when reservations are confirmed in this thread, not when they are made. Payment can take a while, several Norwegians have waited a couple of weeks before getting their reservation number. So Brians math is correct.

And you don't get the reservation number before the reservation is confirmed anyway.

Actually, I agree the original date "decision" should be used. But michiganmodels does the basic tabulation, and I guess waiting for the last few days of Dec. would be a problem. He already waited 4 days for the US.

So I just track what he posts and calculate the change. I'm waiting for some US numbers before getting started on 2013.

typo: the original "decision" date

Bumping to the top.

Here's my take. All those in the know i.e., those that follow these forums, reserved before January 1st to beat the price increase. Those not so much in the know are still making reservations, but since they don't know about the forums, we don't hear from them.

However, I'm willing to make a guess that the US reservations are running about 30 a day, and will be back up to 100 a day by the beginning of February.

I would think that is a little on the more optimistic side, I would expect about 10-20 a day till febuary then, 40-60 a day for a couple weeks then pick up to 80-90, I think Tesla needs to pick up production to at least 80 a day,( 29000) a year.

Rebump

Does anyone know if the reservation system will go away soon? Since production rates will reduce wait time to less than a year, the "time to build your model s" will pop up as soon as you make the reservation. Then it becomes a non refundable deposit. I'm hearing tesla is going to ask all reservation holders to build their cars by the end of January, so we might see a change in res policy. Any thoughts?

When they get up to speed with production, Elon said he wants to maintain an average of three months between order and delivery. I suppose that is to smooth out production at a constant rate.

How long do you think it will from making the reservation to having lock in options? Would a customer have to lock in right away in order to make Elons turn around rate? If immediate lock in, would this thread be retitled "model s deposit tally?"


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