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Model X Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

US
S 140 (June 20, 2012)
P 1,206 (July 10, 2012)

Canada
S 3 (February 23, 2012)
P 50 (May 9, 2012)

Europe
S 12 (March 19, 2012)
P 87 (July 16, 2012)

Gross Total: 1,498 - July 16, 2012

S = Signature Series (Model X)
P = General Production (Model X)

This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 174 (August 14, 2012)
P 1,509 (September 17, 2012)

Canada
S 3 (February 23, 2012)
P 50 (May 9, 2012)

Europe
S 34 (Signature 14, 2012)
P 99 (September 5, 2012)

Hong Kong
P 9 (September 11, 2012)

Gross Total: 1,862 - September 17, 2012

S = Signature Series (Model X)
P = General Production (Model X)

I received my production reservation # 1546 on Sept 25, 2012. That was then upgraded to signature reservation # 184 on Sept 26, 2012.

U.S. P #1,565 28-Sep-2012

I plotted the reservation numbers posted here against date reserved. The rate is surprisingly constant from July through the present. Tesla is averaging 4.3 reservations per day of the Production model X.

That would be about 4500 reservations at the end of 2014 if the speed is constant. I do think reservation speed increases once they have street-legal actual production model ready though.

@adiggs;
Thanks for mentioning that; it reminds us that there is some inevitable duplication, etc., leading to overstatement of the total.

EU P#107 reported in Norway today.

This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 174 (August 14, 2012)
P 1,565 (September 28, 2012)

Canada
S 3 (February 23, 2012)
P 50 (May 9, 2012)

Europe
S 34 (Signature 14, 2012)
P 107 (October 3, 2012)

Switzerland
P 35 (October 5, 2012)

Hong Kong
P 11 (October 4, 2012)

Gross Total: 1,982 - October 5, 2012

S = Signature Series (Model X)
P = General Production (Model X)

Date: 22/05/2012

Region: Canada

P53

I was waiting to see a more recent update from Canada.

As of October 5, 2012, projected total reservations by end 2013:

(1982*690)/237 = 5,770
.
:-( ↓

very small number

This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 184 (September 26, 2012)
P 1,565 (September 28, 2012)

Canada
S 3 (February 23, 2012)
P 55 (May 22, 2012)

Europe
S 34 (Signature 14, 2012)
P 107 (October 3, 2012)

Switzerland
P 35 (October 5, 2012)

Hong Kong
P 11 (October 4, 2012)

Gross Total: 1,987 - October 5, 2012

S = Signature Series (Model X)
P = General Production (Model X)

As of October 5, 2012, projected total reservations by end 2013:

(1987*690)/237 = 5,785
.
:) ↑

Received Oct 9 2012 (switch from Model S to X)

US Region - Model X General (P) 1616

Reservation 1616 on October 10th is almost exactly in line with the calculated rate of 4.3 reservations per day for the U.S. market (P). The calculated number was 1612. Projecting this rate out to the end of 2013 gives only 3,550 reservations total for the U.S. (P) market.

tpmeyer;
What period do you use to get 4.3? Since the reveal, the rate is 8.3.

Global, that is. Subtract about 1/4 to get the US rate.

1638 / October 11, 2012 / United States / General Production

All I did was go through this forum and pull out all the people who announce their number and date, to get these data:
DATE Res #
7/20/2012 1261
7/24/2012 1274
7/27/2012 1284
8/2/2012 1315
7/30/2012 1297
8/29/2012 1436
8/31/2012 1444
8/28/2012 1428
8/27/2012 1417
9/17/2012 1509
9/26/2012 1546
9/28/2012 1565
10/9/2012 1616
10/11/2012 1638

And then did a simple linear fit. The 1638 two days after 1616 is a significant blip up, and now the slope says 4.37 reservations/day instead of 4.3. If I could attach the graph, you could see how good the fit is. All the points lie right on the line except the last is a tad bit above.

If I use the gross tallies instead, as published my michiganmodels, I get about 6 reservations/day.

I'm hoping the rates start to go up of course. When they do, it might be a good time to buy the stock. If I start to see a "hockey stick", I'll let you know!

Doh. I had the S figures on my brain. You're right, of course.

Note that TM is deliberately saying nothing about the X until the "ramp up" is accomplished. I wouldn't expect to see any bump in the X-res rate this calendar year.

Unless the "spill-over" effect of interest in the S gets lots of people turned on to the X in parallel -- quite possible. Here's a guess: until TM starts to "push" the X, its res-rate will be about ½ the S', which is now about 8.3/day.

:)

Brian,

The Model S reservation rate is more like 30 to 40 a day.

Canada P57 (June 18, 2012)

GTM;
Yes, of course you're right. Posting too late at night has its hazards. My number for the S since July 1 is actually about 44/day.

;)

Correction: GTC, not GTM. |:/

This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 184 (September 26, 2012)
P 1,638 (October 12, 2012)

Canada
S 3 (February 23, 2012)
P 55 (May 22, 2012)

Europe
S 34 (Signature 14, 2012)
P 107 (October 3, 2012)

Switzerland
P 35 (October 5, 2012)

Hong Kong
P 11 (October 4, 2012)

Gross Total: 2,060 - October 12, 2012

S = Signature Series (Model X)
P = General Production (Model X)

As of October 5, 2012, projected total reservations by end 2013:

(2060*690)/244 = 5,825
.
:) ↑

Hi from Bulgaria.
Model X, General Production
#7 for Bulgaria

:)

Reserved in Westchester, NY today. Ended up reserving a Model X Production & then a Model X Signature. There was an issue, so the Model X Production is being credited, but I received a reservation # for both.

Model X Signature #204
Model X Production #1712


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