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Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 14,832 (November 28, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,769 (November 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 20,478 - November 28, 2012

Net Total: 16,452 - November 28, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of November 28, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Nov. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

November 30 (20,478*1,345)/1,343 = 20,508
December 31 (20,478*1,376)/1,343 = 20,981
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (20,478 - 13,260)*184/151 = 22,055
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (20,478 - 18,337)*61/28 = 23,001
.
:) ↑
_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 15.3 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 47.8 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.5 :) ↑

Make that US P P 14,835 for my Model S Performance reserved today. 28 Nov 12.
Also reserved my wife Model X Res number 1950.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 14,835 (November 28, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,769 (November 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 20,481 - November 28, 2012

Net Total: 16,455 - November 28, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

14,896 on TMC

P14875, reserved at 7PM on 11/28. Base model.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 14,896 (November 29, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,769 (November 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 20,542 - November 29, 2012

Net Total: 16,516 - November 29, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Wow, almost at 15k already! Makes me feel like an old-timer at 10,888 - and I only reserved in August!

As of November 29, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Nov. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

November 30 (20,542*1,345)/1,344 = 20,557
December 31 (20,542*1,376)/1,344 = 21,031
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (20,542 - 13,260)*184/152 = 22,075
:) ?
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (20,542 - 18,337)*61/29 = 23,001
.
:) ?
_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 15.3 :| →
.
Since June '12: 47.9 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.0 :( ↓

Corr:

As of November 29, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Nov. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

November 30 (20,542*1,345)/1,344 = 20,557
December 31 (20,542*1,376)/1,344 = 21,031
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (20,542 - 13,260)*184/152 = 22,075
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (20,542 - 18,337)*61/29 = 23,001
.
:) ↑
_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 15.3 :| →
.
Since June '12: 47.9 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.0 :( ↓

2nd corr (sorry!):

As of November 29, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Nov. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

November 30 (20,542*1,345)/1,344 = 20,557
December 31 (20,542*1,376)/1,344 = 21,031
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (20,542 - 13,260)*184/152 = 22,075
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (20,542 - 18,337)*61/29 = 23,001
.
:) ↑
_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 15.3 :| →
.
Since June '12: 47.9 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.0 :( ↓

once... months ago, Elon said- with 8000 Cars per Year we are break even. When I see the numbers and the sudden push on delivery.. let's wait and see )

Any new reservations holders want to check in here?

This is absurd. Where is #15,000 already?

;D
Can you spell "Swamped"? Tesla can!

Maybe Tesla stopped giving reservation numbers out already to prevent disappointing/angering people when batching inevitably gets people their cars out of order. We haven't had a single report of a new reservation number in two days now

15,064 (12/1/12) / Portland, OR

Over the 15k mark! :)

:-)

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 15,064 (December 1, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,769 (November 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 20,710 – December 1, 2012

Net Total: 16,684 – December 1, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Reservation #15,119 evening of Dec 1st!

225 US reservations in two days, seems like the reservation rate keeps accelerating :)

I'm 15,005, reservation as of Nov 30th.

As of December 1, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (20,710*1,376)/1,346 = 21,172
December 31 2013 (20,710*1,741)/1,346 = 26,788
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (20,710 - 13,260)*184/154 = 22,160
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (20,710 - 18,337)*61/31 = 23,006
.
:) ↑
_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 15.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 48.4 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.6 :) ↑

At this rate 2013 could be sold out by the Q4 report!

Yeah, there are lots of things to balance (cancellation/switch adjustment, EU and Can res rates, cars delivered total, boosts in assembly/delivery rates in '13) but assuming 3200 additional cars delivered by then (end Jan/13?), total reservations of about 32K, which approx. assumes a US P# of about 22K, would perhaps soak up a 1½ shift 1 line operation. That would require 6K new res/mo, or almost 200/day, though.

But if 3-shift ops could/can handle 60K/yr, it's unlikely that capacity would be pre-sold. 3 month lead time would require about 5K undelivered res at 20K, and 15K at 60K. If production requires 2nd and even 3rd shifts, and deliveries keep up, revenues adequate to institute a 2nd line in anticipation of Mod X production would likely be available.

How introducing "variants" like a cabriolet, pick-up, van, etc. would impact rates and scheduling is unknown, of course.

mm, you might like to make clear that your Net represents open, undelivered reservations estimated, not total 'sales' to date. It is useful to project wait times and uncollected revenues.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 15,119 (December 1, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,769 (November 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 20,765 – December 1, 2012

Net Total: 16,739 – December 1, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 1, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (20,765*1,376)/1,346 = 21,228
December 31 2013 (20,765*1,741)/1,346 = 26,858
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (20,765 - 13,260)*184/154 = 22,227
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (20,765 - 18,337)*61/31 = 23,115
.
:) ↑
_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 15.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 48.7 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 78.3 :) ↑

Hi Brian,

Your December 31st, 2013 projection with the April 2009 start date is pretty much meaningless as we are unlikely to ever go back to a 15 reservations a day rate.

How about using October, 2012 as a start date. That will be more realistic, and much more interesting.

GAS;
That's the third projection in the list, and currently shows 23,115 -- 2350 more than now!


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