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So what's the hold up?

It's supposedly about 6 months from the start of production and the vehicle still isn't available to see.

Is it the falcon door backlash?
Problems with AWD?

Thoughts?

Actually, it's more like 12-15 months away by latest estimates. If lucky, there may be single-digit deliveries by Dec 2014 and a slow ramp-up starting in March/April. If you reserve a Model-X today, you're looking at Summer 2015 at the earliest. Like the software industry, these are best estimates, but delays usually set back these dates.

--Dan

It is possible that there will be a few working final proto-types in about 6 months. I was really excited and could not wait. Now I have resigned myself to the fact that in order for the car to be as good as it can be, I will have to wait. I already have the HPWC waiting. (TY 2013 was the last year for the tax credit on that.)

Elon is the issue. He said as much in an interview (60 minutes I think). He is a perfectionist and wants the X to be as close to perfect as possible. He continues to tweak/improve the design. The S was shipped on time (al beit a little buggy) in order to keep the company alive. As long as they are solvent I expect Elon to continue to insist on near perfection. This will equate to delays. I would not be at all surprised to see one or two more delays on the X. That will cost them a few impatient disgruntled defectors in the short term and maximize the probability to success long term. IMHO

I have to think that the holdup is actually about the batteries. Right now, the bottleneck in producing the model S is the supply of batteries. Tesla has struck a deal with Samsung to be a second battery supplier, but that will take some time, and of course there is the battery gigafactory in the works. Right now, though, they can not bring on a new product line without sacrificing model S production numbers, which would spell disaster economically. Even admitting that they can't release the model X without cutting back on the model S production would look bad right now.

I can't wait to get our SigX (#1015), but there has to be an increased supply of batteries first.

Ron

They are already building the next production line which apparently will be capable (when finished) to produce both Model S and Model X.

JJS: Kind of reminds me of Steve Jobs at Apple. A new product was never perfect enough for him. Sooner or later, though, tweaking has to stop and sales have to begin.

I also agree with ronmerkord.

Yes, I think ronmerkord is correct as well. The gigafactory cannot be built fast enough.

At the recent Hamilton supercharger event a couple of Tesla executives said the same thing: The current holdup is Elon & the design person tweaking the design as Elon wants the X to knock the public's socks off. They are still expecting deliveries to begin in earnest in early 2015. The new assembly line is almost complete and will build both S and X models. They expect to be able to build 600 X's per week almost right away.

I toured the factory 10 days ago and was shown the area where the Model X will be built, but at this point they have only cleared the space. No new assembly line has been built as of yet.

Will they bring already existing robots of the Model S assembly line to the Model X assembly line or they have the produce and install the robots to create a total new assembly line? That's might play on time

They dont build their own robots.


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