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Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

Updated the excel document. Now you can see the trending increase in reservations per day as well as total reservations by date. Huge spike in reservations recorded in the last day.

still doesn't take into account cancelations or reservations outside U.S.

P1370EU reported in Zollikon in Switzerland, no date

P13891EU in Norway today

@ berntbornich
huh? are you sure is not 138913 ?

@berntbornich - Is that 1,389? Or 1,391?

I know it's not 13,891 :-)

It's 1391 :).

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,707 (October 9, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,391 (October 11, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 55 (October 2, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,798 - October 11, 2012

Net Total: 13,782 - October 11, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

after the M5beating the reservation-rate should peak in the next time. This message is so well multi plicated all over the world...

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,707 (October 9, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,391 (October 11, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 55 (October 2, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,441 - October 11, 2012

Net Total: 13,725 - October 11, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing -
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

michigan;
The correct gross total is 17,498.

I see that on Sept. 26 the Canada S # jumped from 163 to 477, and has now dropped back to 177. A typo, I assume??

As of October 11, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,498*1,315)/1,295 = 17,768
December 31 (17,498*1,376)/1,295 = 18,592
.
:| →
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,498 - 13,260)*184/103 = 20,831
.
:| →

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 514 (August 14, 2012)
P 12,707 (October 9, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 432 (October 14, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,391 (October 11, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 55 (October 2, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,914 - October 14, 2012

Net Total: 13,818 - October 14, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing -
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

@Brian H - Yes, it was a typo. Total Canadian Signatures are 200, not 500.

As of October 14, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,914*1,315)/1,298 = 18,149
December 31 (17,914*1,376)/1,298 = 18,990
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,914 - 13,260)*184/106 = 21,339
:) ↑

bump

Holy. Crap.

Made my reservation on 10/14

Sequence #12,848
Production version
Bay Area, CA

I currently have an E60 M5 that runs out of warranty in May so am hoping to get delivery by June/July at the latest.

Based on current throughput that may be just a dream?

Simon;
No, you should be fine. Your number, net of additions for Sigs etc. and deductions for cancellations, is about 1,000 below the total. If about 3-4000 are cleared this year, that means about 10,000 remaining ahead of you on Jan. 1. At full production (assured by end of Dec.) about 5,000/quarter clears those off by June 30. So you will get delivery on July 1. Exactly. ;)

BMW out of warranty? Get all your docs in FAST!

I am located in The Netherlands and I just got allocated #1403 on the 16th Oct 2012.
When the Tesla rep called early this week I got the impression that I wouldn't get mine until 2014 so I guess all the production is directed to the USA market.

Tesla if you read this a couple of comments:
1. It would be nice to have pricing info
and I would love a chance to test drive one
2. In the Netherlands company cars are taxed by adding a percentage of their value to the income before tax.
In 2013 a Tesla Model S will be rated at 0% for 5 years.
In 2014 it will be rated at 7% for 5 years.
Still this is better than the current 25% rate I have to pay on my Jaguar.

I am located in The Netherlands and I just got allocated #1403 [...] I got the impression that I wouldn't get mine until 2014 (jackie.hale)

WHAT?! Ooops. Speechless. (German reservation holder P#3)

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 514 (August 14, 2012)
P 12,848 (October 14, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 432 (October 14, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,403 (October 16, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 55 (October 2, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 18,067 - October 16, 2012

Net Total: 13,971 - October 16, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

So given current numbers, if approx 2250 cars are still produced in 2012, (2000-3000 estimate, call it 2500, minus 250 already delivered)

Leaving 11721 reservations for 2013, assuming rate of 20000/yr

Shows that a new reservation NOW would acheive delivery 214 days into 2013 (late July, early August)

Assuming no increase/decrease in production, no cancellations

October 16th: P12,893
California, US

jackie;
"your" reservation, or a company reservation? The tax rate should be irrelevant to a personal vehicle.

As of October 16, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (18,067*1,315)/1,300 = 18,275
December 31 (18,067*1,376)/1,300 = 19,123
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (18,067 - 13,260)*184/108 = 21,450
:) ↑

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 514 (August 14, 2012)
P 12,893 (October 16, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 432 (October 14, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,403 (October 16, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 55 (October 2, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,812 - October 16, 2012

Net Total: 14,016 - October 16, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing -
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Updated graphs here. The graphs now reflect world-wide reservations. Upshot: there is a fairly steady increase in the number of new reservations per day. There are currently about 38 new reservations per day and that number increases by about 3 per week. To reach 20,000 per year TM would need 55 per day. Assuming current trends continue, that goal will be achieved by reached by December.

As before, this is likely optimistic because it doesn't include cancellations and other factors.

Arg! The previous totals were off by 300, a numeric typo, I assume.

As of October 16, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,812*1,315)/1,300 = 18,017
December 31 (17,812*1,376)/1,300 = 18,853
.
:| →
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,812 - 13,260)*184/108 = 21,015
:| →


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