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Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

Posted Dec. 15 in TMC:

aviators99
.
A friend got reservation # 15986 after getting a ride in mine.

Reservations per week:
4 week moving average: 537
12 week moving average: 396

EU Model S #1909 reported in Switzerland 07. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 15,986 (December 16, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,909 (December 16, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 21,772 – December 16, 2012

Net Total: 17,746 – December 16, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 16, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (21,772*1,376)/1,361 = 22,012
December 31 2013 (21,772*1,741)/1,361 = 27,851
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (21,772 - 13,260)*184/169 = 22,527
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (21,772 - 18,337)*61/46 = 22,967
.
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.0 :| →
.
Since June '12: 50.3 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 74.7 :) ↑

Corr:

As of December 16, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (21,772*1,376)/1,361 = 22,012
December 31 2013 (21,772*1,741)/1,361 = 27,851
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (21,772 - 13,260)*184/169 = 22,527
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (21,772 - 18,337)*61/46 = 22,892
.
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.0 :| →
.
Since June '12: 50.3 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 74.7 :) ↑

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,132 (December 18, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,909 (December 16, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 21,918 – December 18, 2012

Net Total: 17,892 – December 18, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

would be very nice to see 20.000 reservations at the end of 2012...

As of December 18, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (21,918*1,376)/1,363 = 22,127
December 31 2013 (21,918*1,741)/1,363 = 27,997
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (21,918 - 13,260)*184/171 = 22,576
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (21,918 - 18,337)*61/48 = 22,888
.
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.1 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 50.6 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 74.6 :( ↓

December 31, 2013 reservation projection taking the daily reservation rate since October added to Brian's latest December 2012 projection.

365 X 74.6 = 27,229 +22,888 = 50,117

less 23,000 deliveries (3,000 for 2012 and 20,000 est for 2013)
Less 6,550 cancellations (est 25% for first 10,000 and 10% thereafter)

50,117 - (23,000 + 6512) = 20,605

Projected wait list Dec. 31, 2013 at end of first full year of production: 20,605

Of course production could be considerably more than 20,000 in 2013, but then again, reservations might increase even more!

Yes, that sequence doesn't hold out much hope for getting the wait time down to 3-4 months! Production must exceed reservations for some time to achieve that.

Res # 16155 reported on this thread

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,160 (December 19, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 1,909 (December 16, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 21,946 – December 19, 2012

Net Total: 17,920 – December 19, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 19, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (21,946*1,376)/1,364 = 22,139
December 31 2013 (21,946*1,741)/1,364 = 28,012
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (21,946 - 13,260)*184/172 = 22,552
.
:( ↓
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (21,946 - 18,337)*61/49 = 22,830
.
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.1 :| →
.
Since June '12: 50.5 :( ↓
.
Since Oct. '12: 73.7 :( ↓

Nice jump in eu: heard someone who got # P2004 in Belgium; he reserved after visit to Eindhoven.

Frank
P308
Passion and Patience

It will be interesting to see how much the reservation rate falls beginning January 1 when the price goes up.

UK confirmation today.

P 75 (December 21, 2012)

I became P16384 at 5pm CST 12/21/2012

I'm very excited!

Looks like reservations are accelerating as we near year's end. Awesome!

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,384 (December 21, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 63 (November 8, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,291 – December 22, 2012

Net Total: 18,265 – December 22, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,384 (December 21, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,303 – December 22, 2012

Net Total: 18,277 – December 22, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

gross must be something like 22303.

Yes, the above Gross is 1,000 too high. 22,303 is correct.

As of December 22, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,303*1,376)/1,367 = 22,450
December 31 2013 (22,303*1,741)/1,367 = 28,405
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,303 - 13,260)*184/175 = 22,768
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,303 - 18,337)*61/52 = 22,989
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.3 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 51.7 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.3 :) ↑

By market since end of Oct. '12:
N. Amer.: 3131/52 = 60.2 per day
Europe: 736/52 = 14.2 per day

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,384 (December 21, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 493 (November 21, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,303 – December 22, 2012

Net Total: 18,277 – December 22, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

FYI someone mentioned Canada #575 in a different thread here in case you missed it

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,384 (December 21, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 575 (December 23, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,385 – December 23, 2012

Net Total: 18,359 – December 23, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 23, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,385*1,376)/1,368 = 22,516
December 31 2013 (22,385*1,741)/1,368 = 28,488
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,385 - 13,260)*184/176 = 22,800
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,385 - 18,337)*61/53 = 22,996
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 51.8 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.3 :| →

Corr:

As of December 23, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,385*1,376)/1,368 = 22,516
December 31 2013 (22,385*1,741)/1,368 = 28,488
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,385 - 13,260)*184/176 = 22,800
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,385 - 18,337)*61/53 = 22,996
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 51.8 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 76.3 :| →

US P 16547
reserved on 12/22/12 6:59 PM


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