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Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,052 (September 16, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 13 (May 21, 2011)
P 35 (January 31, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 2 (April 27, 2011)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,033 - September 26, 2012

Net Total: 13,031 - September 26, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 3,919 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of September 26, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Sept. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

September 30 (17,033*1,284)/1,280 = 17,086
December 31 (17,033*1,376)/1,280 = 18,310
.
:) ↑
.
Dec. 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,033 - 13,260)*184/88 = 21,149
.
:)

Why the drop from 13 886 to 13 013 ? (it should probably just be 14 013 or so)

@Nicu - The "Net Total" in this thread matches the official SEC filing of "approximately 13,000"

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,198 (September 23, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012[/COLOR])
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 13 (May 21, 2011)
P 35 (January 31, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 2 (April 27, 2011)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,205 - September 26, 2012

Net Total: 13,057 - September 26, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 3,919 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,198 (September 23, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012[/COLOR])
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 13 (May 21, 2011)
P 35 (January 31, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,205 - September 27, 2012

Net Total: 13,057 - September 27, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 3,919 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of September 27, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Sept. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

September 30 (17,205*1,284)/1,281 = 17,245
December 31 (17,205*1,376)/1,281 = 18,481
.
:) ↑
.
Dec. 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,205 - 13,260)*184/89 = 21,416
.
:)

bump

We just ordered our second Model S, yesterday 9/30/2012 around 4:00P Pacific, #12,453.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,453 (September 30, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 13 (May 21, 2011)
P 35 (January 31, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,460 - September 30, 2012

Net Total: 13,312 - September 30, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of September 30, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,460*1,315)/1,284 = 17,882
December 31 (17,460*1,376)/1,284 = 18,711
.
:) ↑
.
Dec. 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,460 - 13,260)*184/92 = 21,660
.
:)

I've tried to capture the U.S. reservation history with a simple excel doc graph. You should be able to view here
https://skydrive.live.com/redir?resid=6ADB8AFB519BEAA1!266&authkey=!AFddyvvbTHh-fFE.
1) doesn't yet capture cancellations
2) only sampled data from this pages history

Recently there seems to be linear growth month over month.

Never tried sharing excel doc before. Hope it works!

Are you deducting confirmed deliveries from the reservation count or are they still included in in the net total reservations?

The Canadian number must be wrong; limit was to be around 200 for Sig and the last post lists 477.

ColinB;
Conversions to P and dropouts?

In the "Anyone getting frustrated..." thread. Michael@123lump posted his reservation number, made today, as 12618

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,618 (October 6, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 13 (May 21, 2011)
P 35 (January 31, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,625 - October 6, 2012

Net Total: 13,609 - October 6, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post - http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

mboedigh - Thanks for the graph. I see two points of inflection - one is last October centered around the big factory event and the other is around June when first deliveries happened and lots of articles were published.

Current tally appears to be about 1,000/month. I recall doing the math in the spring and it felt like 600/month back then. Good sign.

As of October 6, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,625*1,315)/1,290 = 17,967
December 31 (17,625*1,376)/1,290 = 18,800
.
:) ↑
.
Dec. 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,625 - 13,260)*184/98 = 21,456
.
:( ↓

cattledog;
Yes, and I wonder if/expect the SC network and the beginning of delivered cars-on-the-streets will produce another one. Like, to about 2,500/mo. to keep up with EM's projected output next year?

I expect more of a gradual curve upward as anticipated wait times (reservation to delivery) shrink. For the US, what is that now?

For new orders? Don't know if it's knowable yet. Aside from TWAGs (Tesla's Wild-Assed Guesses).

I am beginning to wonder if wait times will ever come down. Seems like more orders are coming in than cars being made. By the time Tesla is making 400 cars a week there might be consistently over 400 new reservations a week on average. With gas prices in CA there may be a surge in reservations this month.

I think TM's intention is to "adjust" production so that 3-4 months is standard. As orders rise, production will ramp up, even if that means additional shifts, working through holidays, new lines, or foremen with bullwhips.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,676 (October 8, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 13 (May 21, 2011)
P 35 (January 31, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,683 - October 8, 2012

Net Total: 13,667 - October 8, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post - http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Just confirmed on UK S20

And another for the UK: P 55 confirmed on 2nd October.

As of October 8, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,683*1,315)/1,292 = 17,998
December 31 (17,683*1,376)/1,292 = 18,833
.
:) ↑
.
Dec. 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,683 - 13,260)*184/100 = 21,398
.
:( ↓

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 244 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,299 (August 1, 2012)
R 439 (March 23, 2012)
P 12,707 (October 9, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 477 (September 23, 2012)
P 396 (September 9, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 83 (January 4, 2012)
P 1,334 (September 26, 2012)

Switzerland
S 14 (October 20, 2011)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 55 (October 2, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 52 (July 2, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 17,741 - October 9, 2012

Net Total: 13,725 - October 9, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012***

* = Net Total subtracts known Signature cancellations/downgrades and 4,148 unit differential from September 23, 2012 SEC filing
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing -
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex...
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of October 9, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Oct. 2012, and Dec. 2012, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

October 31 (17,741*1,315)/1,293 = 18,043
December 31 (17,741*1,376)/1,293 = 18,880
.
:) ↑
.
December 31 extrapolation from July 1 base:
13,260 + (17,741 - 13,260)*184/101 = 21,423
.
:) ↑


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