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Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

Just reported on the Resv to deliver thread 16,666.

Looks like there maybe a huge surge in reservations from now until the end of the year. Everybody thinking about a Tesla will be getting in a head of the price increase, then there will be almost no reservation in the first part of January.

My concern (as a stock holder) is that there will be a high cancellation rate among this reservations.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,666 (December 24, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 575 (December 23, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,667 – December 24, 2012

Net Total: 18,641 – December 24, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 23, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,548*1,376)/1,368 = 22,680
December 31 2013 (22,548*1,741)/1,368 = 28,696
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,548 - 13,260)*184/176 = 22,970
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,548 - 18,337)*61/53 = 23,183
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the 3 Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.5 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 52.8 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 79.5 :) ↑

Note that the above extrapolations treat Christmas Day as a full business day; it may not be!

Merry Christmas to me!
US P 16,743

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,743 (December 25, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 575 (December 23, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,744 – December 25, 2012

Net Total: 18,718 – December 25, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 25, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,744*1,376)/1,370 = 22,844
December 31 2013 (22,744*1,741)/1,370 = 28,901
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,744 - 13,260)*184/178 = 23,060
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,744 - 18,337)*61/55 = 23,224
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.6 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 53.3 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 80.1 :) ↑

Note how remarkable that number is at the end. It means that by the end of Dec., the two months of Nov. & Dec. will have added almost 4900 new reservations, a rate of almost 2500/mo., which is spot on Elon's "secret" target of 30K for 2013. And it's still rising, yet Europe has barely begun to warm up, and Asia-Pacific is still asleep.

P.S. Plus, the Model X has just begun to stir. The soccer moms have barely begun to weigh in! ;)

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,743 (December 25, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,771 – December 25, 2012

Net Total: 18,745 – December 25, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Been thinking about this for over a year now, hopefully all the finances work out. Also seeing info on the Federal Incentive going up next year, and that it may go to Tesla instead of the end user

Reservation # 16,759

Hi All,

I am based in Australia, and have reserved a non-sig Model S, my Reservation Sequence number is 48, and I got the confirmation email on 12/12/12.

Hope this helps. Bring on the RHD models :)

Been thinking about this for over a year now, hopefully all the finances work out. Also seeing info on the Federal Incentive going up next year, and that it may go to Tesla instead of the end user

Reservation # 16,759

Additional info, Region : US, General Production Model S

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,759 (December 26, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,805 – December 26, 2012

Net Total: 18,779 – December 26, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

As of December 26, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,805*1,376)/1,371 = 22,888
December 31 2013 (22,805*1,741)/1,371 = 28,960
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,805 - 13,260)*184/179 = 23,072
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,805 - 18,337)*61/56 = 23,204
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.6 :| →
.
Since June '12: 53.3 :| →
.
Since Oct. '12: 79.8 :( ↓

Corr:

As of December 26, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,805*1,376)/1,371 = 22,888
December 31 2013 (22,805*1,741)/1,371 = 28,960
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,805 - 13,260)*184/179 = 23,072
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,805 - 18,337)*61/56 = 23,204
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.6 :| →
.
Since June '12: 53.3 :| →
.
Since Oct. '12: 79.8 :( ↓

EU P #2073 on 26th dec

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,759 (December 26, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,073 (December 26, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,848 – December 26, 2012

Net Total: 18,822 – December 26, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

December 31, 2013 reservation projection taking the daily reservation rate since October added to Brian's latest December 2012 projection.

365 X 79.8 = 29,127 +23,204 = 52,331

less 23,000 deliveries (3,000 for 2012 and 20,000 est for 2013)
Less 6,733 cancellations (est 25% for first 10,000 and 10% thereafter)

52,331 - (23,000 + 6,733) = 22,598

Projected wait list Dec. 31, 2013 at end of first full year of production: 22,598

Of course production could be considerably more than 20,000 in 2013, but then again, reservations might increase even more!

another interesting number maybe is the average reservation-rate of the last month:

26.11.2012: 16309
26.12.2012: 18822
2513 Cars 31 days --

That's 81 Cars a day.

Welp, just cancelled reservation #12,104 and reserved #16,921. Wanted to move back my build date as far as possible (so my finances are in better order) but not get hit with the price increase. So it's not a new car in production, but it is a new reservation, should hit #17k tomorrow.

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,921 (December 27, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,073 (December 26, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,010 – December 27, 2012

Net Total: 18,984 – December 27, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

US P #16837 on 12/26

As of December 27, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (23,010*1,376)/1,372 = 23,077
December 31 2013 (23,010*1,741)/1,372 = 29,199
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (23,010 - 13,260)*184/180 = 23,227
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (23,010 - 18,337)*61/57 = 23,338
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.8 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 54.2 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 82.0 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there will be over 15K unfilled reservations at year end.

Here I found, that there were 300 reservations in in Hong Kong. 'Meanwhile, over in Hong Kong, Tesla has already received around 300 reservations for the Model S (and Model X).'
http://green.autoblog.com/2012/12/21/tesla-model-s-vs-the-world/

I was a very good boy this year and santa claus thought I should get an 'S' res. My wife thought I would enjoy making the res myself so at about 9pm on the 25th I got res # 16748. Fast forward 72 hours, I was at the mall and 'just happened' to be at the Tesla store met someone who had just made res # 1704X. That is about 100 US reservations per day for the last three days. WOW!

Europe, P, #2145 27DEC

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,040 (December 28, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,201 – December 28, 2012

Net Total: 19,175 – December 28, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Despite a small lull just before Christmas, sales are averaging around 90/day (~33k/year) since the MT COTY bump. See graphs here


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